Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COT
5 - 0
BOT
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
CEA
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 0
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATM
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FFL
1 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |