Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 2
BOT
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
5 - 1
SCI
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 2
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
PPE
67%
20%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |