Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOT
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 2
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 3
VAS
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 2
PPE
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
POR
1 - 3
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |