Botafogo vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PPE
2 - 1
BOT
44%
29%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
BSC
1 - 1
SAN
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
COT
0 - 0
SAN
21%
26%
54%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLU
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |