Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Botafogo vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1963 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1963 |
BOT
2 - 1
ALI
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1963 |
MIL
0 - 2
BOT
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1963 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOT
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1963 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1962 |
SLB
2 - 5
SAN
85%
9%
6%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
SAN
3 - 2
SLB
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1962 |
SAN
3 - 0
PEÑ
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1962 |
SAN
2 - 3
PEÑ
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |