Botafogo vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
BOT
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
BOT
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAD
82%
14%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
4 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COT
3 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
AME
1 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |