Botafogo vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
FRI
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
BOT
11%
19%
71%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
SLO
37%
29%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 3
SLO
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 0
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 2
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |