Botafogo vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
COT
0 - 3
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 2
FLU
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
PAL
4 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
BOT
0 - 1
FFL
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 1
FFL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 1
PPE
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 3
PPE
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 0
GOI
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
CRZ
1 - 2
PPE
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |