Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Botafogo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ATP
0 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
BOS
41%
27%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 1
PEÑ
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DEP
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
RAC
39%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |