Botafogo vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
GRE
1 - 1
BOT
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 1
PPE
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 2
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
PAY
3 - 2
BAH
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
GAM
2 - 0
PAY
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
GRE
3 - 0
PAY
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
5 - 2
ATM
21%
23%
57%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAY
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |