Botafogo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
53%
25%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
SCI
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAL
12%
22%
67%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
ATM
14%
24%
62%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 1
PAR
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIT
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |