Botafogo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 1
BOT
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 1
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOT
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
GOI
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
ATM
0 - 0
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
SCI
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
3 - 0
PAR
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |