Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 4-3
Botafogo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 2
BOT
41%
27%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 4
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
BAH
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
CRZ
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAL
49%
26%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 2
VIT
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |