Botafogo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
61%
20%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 2
AMF
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
COR
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 1
VAS
44%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
BAH
65%
23%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 0
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |