Botafogo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAN
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
JEC
1 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1986 |
AME
0 - 0
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
TRE
0 - 2
PAL
20%
24%
55%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
PAL
2 - 2
BAN
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
PAL
2 - 0
PPE
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |