Botafogo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
4 - 1
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAC
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
3 - 2
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOT
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
2 - 0
PEÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
3 - 2
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOT
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
PAL
1 - 1
SCI
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |