Botafogo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOT
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
2 - 0
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
4 - 1
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
BOT
3 - 2
NAC
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAL
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
2 - 0
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
PAL
2 - 0
PEÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |