Botafogo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.4%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 3
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 2
BOT
14%
22%
65%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 0
QUI
88%
10%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FRI
5 - 0
OLA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
VAS
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
OLA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OLA
1 - 0
MAD
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |