Botafogo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
4 - 3
REC
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
82%
12%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
BOT
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 2
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OLA
0 - 1
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
FRI
1 - 2
OLA
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OLA
1 - 0
TIG
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OLA
0 - 0
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 3
OLA
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | +1 |