Botafogo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
LON
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
REM
0 - 1
BOT
24%
29%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 2
VIL
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
29%
30%
41%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |