Botafogo vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
BOT
23%
29%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
VIT
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
BOT
26%
28%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 2
BOT
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
CRB
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 2
BOA
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
OES
0 - 0
MOG
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAH
4 - 1
MOG
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 2
CRI
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |