Botafogo vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 2
CEA
60%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
COM
3 - 1
MIR
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 0
VOT
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 0
BAT
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MIR
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |