Botafogo vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.2%
2-0
19.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13%
3.4%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
NOV
84%
13%
3%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 0
BOT
8%
20%
72%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
BOT
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
PPE
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 0
MAC
87%
11%
3%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAD
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOT
34%
29%
38%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
MAC
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
MAC
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |