Botafogo vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOT
9%
20%
71%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 1
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
RES
2 - 2
MAC
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
BAN
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
FLU
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |