Botafogo vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
0 - 3
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
VOL
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
BON
87%
11%
2%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BON
3 - 0
MAC
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
FLU
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 2
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
FRI
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |