Botafogo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
5 - 2
BOT
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRZ
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 2
GUA
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
GOI
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 3
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |