Botafogo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRI
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
BOT
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
VAS
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
GOI
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 4
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
FLA
3 - 0
GRE
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |