Botafogo vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 2
SCI
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 2
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ATM
0 - 2
BOT
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
CEA
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 1
GRÊ
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
GOI
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRÊ
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
CRZ
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |