Botafogo vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRZ
37%
24%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 0
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
PAR
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
FLA
3 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
5 - 1
FLU
33%
24%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
FLA
3 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
3 - 1
CRZ
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |