Carioca 1 Final
Global 1-5
Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FLU
4 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOT
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VAS
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 4
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
SCI
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FLU
4 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 2
FLU
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
5 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |