Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-2
Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 5
BOT
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
4 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 3
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
49%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
GOI
3 - 1
FLU
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATP
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 0
FLU
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |