Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAN
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 2
VOL
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOT
8%
21%
71%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAM
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VOL
0 - 2
FLA
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 5
FLA
8%
21%
71%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
FLA
1 - 2
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |