Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COT
5 - 0
BOT
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
CEA
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATP
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 3
BAH
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 2
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
VAS
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |