Botafogo vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOT
26%
27%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |