Botafogo vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VOL
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 1
RES
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FLA
16%
21%
62%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DUQ
3 - 1
AME
52%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |