Botafogo vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.6%
2.5%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAB
0 - 4
BOT
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 4
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
TIG
2 - 3
BOT
9%
17%
75%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
DOM
0 - 2
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RES
0 - 3
BOT
11%
18%
71%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 1
FRI
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 4
FLA
7%
16%
76%
|
46 | 84 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
3 - 0
DUQ
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 2
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
MAD
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |