Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 0-1
Botafogo vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
GOI
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOT
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAL
18%
26%
56%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 0
CUI
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
CUI
3 - 3
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
CUI
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 1
PPE
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
CUI
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |