Botafogo vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
COT
2 - 3
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FLU
4 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
CRZ
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 2
ATP
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 0
CRZ
34%
25%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 2
AMF
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |