Botafogo vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
NAU
3 - 0
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2008 |
COR
2 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
COT
1 - 1
CRZ
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 1
COT
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
FFL
2 - 1
COT
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
COT
2 - 0
PAL
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 1
COT
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |