Botafogo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
XVD
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
BOT
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
COR
2 - 0
ATM
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 0
COR
40%
29%
32%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 0
COR
35%
29%
36%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |