Botafogo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 1
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
COR
0 - 1
SCI
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
ATP
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
ATP
3 - 2
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |