Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 5-2
Botafogo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 1
SCI
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 3
COR
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 1
BOT
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 2
COR
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 3
COR
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 0
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
GOI
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |