Botafogo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 1
BOT
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 2
ARN
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
2 - 0
COR
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
GOI
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 2
COR
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
COR
2 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |