Botafogo vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 1
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 0
BRU
68%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
AVA
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
LON
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
CON
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
SOU
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CON
3 - 1
AVA
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CON
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |