Botafogo vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1973 |
COL
3 - 3
BOT
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1973 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1973 |
BOT
1 - 2
COL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAL
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOT
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1973 |
COL
4 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1973 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
CCP
5 - 1
COL
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
CCP
5 - 0
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1973 |
CCP
1 - 0
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |