Botafogo vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
61%
20%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
SCI
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
VAS
3 - 1
CEA
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CEA
3 - 0
BAH
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 0
CEA
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |