Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 5-1
Botafogo vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
BOT
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 2
BOT
77%
17%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
BOT
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 0
PPE
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
CAP
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 1
RIO
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAP
61%
21%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |