Botafogo vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 2
BOT
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAC
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
BOT
17%
26%
57%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 1
OES
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 3
BOT
21%
27%
53%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRI
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
BRA
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
BOA
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OES
1 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |