Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 6-4
Botafogo vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17%
6.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAC
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
4 - 1
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
6 - 1
LUC
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TRE
1 - 2
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 3
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 10 | 42 | +1 |