Botafogo vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
BOA
77%
17%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOT
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
BOA
2 - 1
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 1
OES
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MAD
0 - 0
BAN
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |